Sunday, April 6, 2008

Estimates of number of delegates acquired by Clinton and Obama

The estimated number of delegates acquired by Obama and Clinton through elections (primaries and caucuses, called pledged delegates) and commitments of appointed delegates (called super-delegates.) There is no complete certitude to the numbers because the exact numbers of delegates are not yet allocated in the various caucus elections (those numbers are not likely to be finalized till June), and the commitments of super-delegates are not verified independently.

The estimates by the various news organizations are as follows. The total number of estimated delegates are shown as sum of pledged and super-delegates in the parantheses.
NBC: Obama 1,640 (1,416+224), Clinton 1,507 (1,252+255)
CNN: Obama 1,629 (1,414+215), Clinton 1,486 (1,243+243)
CBS: Obama 1,627 (1,409+218), Clinton 1,492 (1,243+249)

These numbers do not include the disputed elections in Florida and Michigan. Without counting Florida and Michigan, 2024 represents the majority of the total possible delegate acquisition. So 2024 assures nomination as the Democratic party's candidate for the presidential contest against the Republican nominee, John Macain, in November.

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